Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 104131.159235 109684.330565 115228.719967 121176.074505 127371.301392 133630.815628 140429.543316
2025-07-27 95347.432472 103880.776309 112630.291129 122260.952690 132552.531225 143209.540464 155067.759299
2025-08-03 88439.319046 98985.186135 110028.806861 122433.283277 135954.710774 150223.335407 166395.299577
2025-08-10 83253.426332 95317.014340 108175.229740 122862.847785 139136.794277 156577.190511 176641.338336
2025-08-17 78780.398448 92018.755882 106350.080718 122962.492444 141631.706258 161906.716299 185531.760404
2025-08-24 75777.385002 90099.927872 105819.863933 124278.946421 145282.170340 168357.147889 195543.562330
2025-08-31 72258.308262 87370.212160 104172.650055 124142.751574 147128.634489 172653.309737 203033.370336
2025-09-07 70178.124568 86152.150142 104121.525691 125711.136931 150817.769149 178963.222015 212765.022163
2025-09-14 68004.849694 84698.729668 103686.964605 126735.335211 153798.598330 184408.207625 221478.762166
2025-09-21 65539.986466 82781.580716 102604.190789 126903.803206 155702.022543 188551.585232 228653.563703
2025-09-28 63301.904359 81034.617937 101631.482929 127117.847882 157588.556415 192624.964023 235718.158234
2025-10-05 62234.983288 80642.364455 102221.293228 129148.761892 161596.309985 199173.039978 245699.741645
2025-10-12 60999.275012 80014.518990 102514.026119 130828.112991 165214.982978 205321.233569 255309.050414
2025-10-19 59468.208405 78965.038402 102248.709754 131795.844308 167959.246529 210433.387659 263717.023154
2025-10-26 57615.493427 77446.644774 101349.389146 131935.788037 169659.765826 214273.940811 270601.085947
2025-11-02 56027.024440 76202.573169 100736.893114 132382.301392 171698.872327 218502.384453 277952.155336
2025-11-09 54365.879517 74808.496292 99885.913665 132485.874489 173279.593075 222153.493431 284599.859199
2025-11-16 53408.109998 74280.284057 100090.722455 133884.239400 176448.249915 227740.398824 293627.094738
2025-11-23 51792.437287 72847.459887 99103.956252 133739.397519 177661.506320 230911.055881 299691.492263
2025-11-30 51075.287293 72562.017271 99558.074872 135405.782958 181139.190328 236880.737436 309230.942824
2025-12-07 50141.192685 71958.021367 99575.920366 136493.865084 183876.562609 241935.936307 317660.191967
2025-12-14 48859.371897 70852.611285 98910.356792 136672.831349 185438.346641 245516.890555 324261.686642
2025-12-21 47656.281874 69817.330324 98304.281891 136900.212286 187040.941354 249139.376361 330920.690517